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Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market, is stepping down. According to a statement issued on Thursday, Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market group and a member of its executive committee, will leave the bank in March 2025 to become a senior manager in the private sector. In the meantime, Neil has been transferred as a consultant to help promote a smooth transition. Anna Nordstrom, head of domestic and international marketing functions of the market group, will be the interim head of the market group until a successor is appointed. The new york Federal Reserve will start looking for a new head of the market group in the next few weeks.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)Canada is considering imposing export taxes on uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying imposing export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer, if Donald Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first.

French President Mark Long will announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th. On the evening of 12th local time, French President Macron returned to Paris after his visit to Poland, and said that he would announce the new prime minister on the morning of 13th local time. Macron accepted the resignation of former Prime Minister Michel Banier on December 5th, and the government of Banier became the government with the shortest term in the Fifth Republic of France.Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.

Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.The dollar index DXY broke through 107 and rose by 0.33% in the day.